2014 Golden Globe Predictions

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criddic3
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Re: 2014 Golden Globe Predictions

Postby criddic3 » Wed Dec 11, 2013 10:37 pm

My predictions:

BEST PICTURE - DRAMA

12 Years a Slave
The Butler
Captain Phillips
Gravity
Saving Mr. Banks

BEST ACTOR - DRAMA

Chiwetel Ejiofor (12 Years a Slave)
Matthew McConaughey (Dallas Buyers Club)
Tom Hanks (Captain Phillips)
Forest Whitaker (The Butler)
Idris Elba (Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom)

BEST ACTRESS - DRAMA

Cate Blanchett (Blue Jasmine)
Sandra Bullock (Gravity)
Emma Thompson (Saving Mr. Banks)
Adele Exarchopoulos (Blue is the Warmest Color)
Judi Dench (Philomena)

BEST PICTURE - COMEDY/MUSICAL

American Hustle
Her
Inside Llewyn Davis
Nebraska
The Wolf of Wall Street

BEST ACTOR - COMEDY/MUSICAL

Bruce Dern (Nebraska)
Joaquin Phoenix (Her)
Leonardo DiCaprio (The Wolf of Wall Street)
James Gandolfini (Enough Said)
Oscar Isaac (Inside Llewyn Davis)

BEST ACTRESS - COMEDY/MUSICAL

Amy Adams (American Hustle)
Meryl Streep (August: Osage County)
Julia Louis-Dreyfus (Enough Said)
Melissa McCarthy (The Heat)
Scarlett Johansson (Don Jon)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Michael Fassbender (12 Years a Slave)
Jared Leto (Dallas Buyers Club)
Harrison Ford (42)
Tom Hanks (Saving Mr. Banks)
Barkhad Abdi (Captain Phillips)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Oprah Winfrey (The Butler)
Jennifer Lawrence (American Hustle)
Lupita Nyongo (12 Years a Slave)
June Squibb (Nebraska)
Octavia Spencer (Fruitvale Station)

BEST DIRECTOR

Steve McQueen (12 Years a Slave)
Alfonso Cuaron (Gravity)
Paul Greengrass (Captain Phillips)
Martin Scorsese (The Wolf of Wall Street)
David O. Russell (American Hustle)

BEST SCREENPLAY

12 Years a Slave
Before Midnight
Blue Jasmine
Gravity
Inside Llewyn Davis

BEST SCORE

12 Years a Slave
The Book Thief
Gravity
Oz the Great and Powerful
Saving Mr. Banks

BEST SONG

"Atlas," The Hunger Games: Catching Fire
"In Summer," Frozen
"Let It Go," Frozen
"Young & Beautiful," The Great Gatsby
"The Moon Song," Her

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

Despicable Me 2
Ernest & Celestine
Frozen
Monsters University
The Wind Rises

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

Blue Is the Warmest Color
Gloria
The Grandmaster
The Hunt
The Past
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Re: 2014 Golden Globe Predictions

Postby Sabin » Tue Dec 10, 2013 3:51 pm

Entertainment Weekly's Anthony Breznican predicts the nominees. This should make Big Magilla's day. Without knowing his predictions for Best Score, he has Saving Mr. Banks in the lead for five (!!!), 12 Years a Slave, American Hustle, August Osage County, Inside Llewyn Davis, and The Wolf of Wall Street for four, Philomena and Nebraska for three, and Gravity and Rush for two.

Best Motion Picture, Drama
12 Years a Slave
Gravity
Philomena
Rush
Saving Mr. Banks

Best Actor, Drama
Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years a Slave
Idris Elba, Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
Tom Hanks, Captain Phillips
Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club
Robert Redford, All Is Lost

Best Actress, Drama
Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
Sandra Bullock, Gravity
Judi Dench, Philomena
Emma Thompson, Saving Mr. Banks
Kate Winslet, Labor Day

Best Motion Picture, Comedy/Musical
American Hustle
August: Osage County
Inside Llewyn Davis
Nebraska
The Wolf of Wall Street

Best Actor, Comedy/Musical
Christian Bale, American Hustle
Bruce Dern, Nebraska
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Wolf of Wall Street
Oscar Isaac, Inside Llewyn Davis
Joaquin Phoenix, Her

Best Actress, Comedy/Musical
Amy Adams, American Hustle
Julie Delpy, Before Midnight
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Enough Said
Melissa McCarthy, The Heat
Meryl Streep, August: Osage County

Best Supporting Actor
Daniel Brühl, Rush
Colin Farrell, Saving Mr. Banks
John Goodman, Inside Llewyn Davis
Tom Hanks, Saving Mr. Banks
Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club

Best Supporting Actress
Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle
Lupita Nyong'o, 12 Years a Slave
Julia Roberts, August: Osage County
Octavia Spencer, Fruitvale Station
Oprah Winfrey, The Butler

Best Director
Joel and Ethan Coen, Inside Llewyn Davis
Alfonso Cuarón, Gravity
Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave
Alexander Payne, Nebraska
Martin Scorsese, The Wolf of Wall Street

Best Animated Motion Picture
Frozen
The Croods
Monsters University

Best Screenplay
August: Osage County, Tracy Letts
Inside Llewyn Davis, Joel and Ethan Coen
Philomena, Steve Coogan and Jeff Pope
Saving Mr. Banks, Kelly Marcel, Sue Smith
The Wolf of Wall Street, Terence Winter
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Re: 2014 Golden Globe Predictions

Postby ITALIANO » Tue Dec 10, 2013 2:14 pm

He would have won anyway.

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Re: 2014 Golden Globe Predictions

Postby FilmFan720 » Tue Dec 10, 2013 2:13 pm

Remember that the moment that Ledger died, and the stories started coming out that he had put so much of himself into the Joker that it might have killed him, the performance became legendary. That was months before anyone had seen it. I think he would have been nominated anyways, but I think the comic book movie bias would have been a much stronger roadblock (remember Dark Knight got nowhere near the nomination haul people thought it would, and no comic book movie since has managed a major nomination) and it would have been a much harder battle. After all, voters would have had the excuse that he has many more chances ahead of him, so we don't have to give him an award for playing a comic villain.
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Re: 2014 Golden Globe Predictions

Postby Mister Tee » Tue Dec 10, 2013 2:02 pm

The Original BJ wrote:I definitely think Gandolfini's performance merits attention; I think the fact that he passed away makes it more likely that the bigger awards groups might go for him, but if he's getting that boost, it's a boost that benefits worthy work.

I stand by my opinion that Heath Ledger still would have won the Oscar even had he not died. That was a pretty thin year for that category, and general consensus seemed to be that his performance was in a different league entirely from his competition.

Agree on both counts. Gandolfini would have got strong reviews anyway; what might be different if he hadn't died is, instead of being a potential nominee, he might be a case of "this is the kind of lovely performance the Oscars too often pass over". (Secondary question: would Enough Said be getting screenplay attention on the basis of "it's time Holofcener got some credit", or is it primarily the Gandolfini connection that's pushing her into contention?)

And Ledger was pretty head and shoulders above the rest of the supporting pack in '08. Though of course we can't conjure up an alternate universe where he didn't die, to test whether our nostalgia played any part in our rating performance so high.

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Re: 2014 Golden Globe Predictions

Postby The Original BJ » Tue Dec 10, 2013 1:41 pm

I definitely think Gandolfini's performance merits attention; I think the fact that he passed away makes it more likely that the bigger awards groups might go for him, but if he's getting that boost, it's a boost that benefits worthy work.

I stand by my opinion that Heath Ledger still would have won the Oscar even had he not died. That was a pretty thin year for that category, and general consensus seemed to be that his performance was in a different league entirely from his competition.

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Re: 2014 Golden Globe Predictions

Postby FilmFan720 » Tue Dec 10, 2013 11:50 am

I think he would have played into critics voting and the conversation, but probably not the industry awards.

But let's be honest, would Hearh Ledher have swept the board if he'd been alive ? Could he have even managed an Oscar nomination? I doubt it.
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Re: 2014 Golden Globe Predictions

Postby OscarGuy » Tue Dec 10, 2013 11:28 am

I think so, Flipp. It's a genuinely heartfelt performance, charming, effortless and definitive. I'm not the biggest Gandolfini fan, but I think he's very good in the film. Perhaps he wouldn't be considered as heavily, but I still think he would have been in the hunt.
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Re: 2014 Golden Globe Predictions

Postby flipp525 » Tue Dec 10, 2013 11:18 am

Is Gandolfini's performance something that anyone would be talking about had he not passed away? I mean, let's be honest here. I haven't seen Enough Said.
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Re: 2014 Golden Globe Predictions

Postby Sabin » Tue Dec 10, 2013 2:04 am

Isn't James Gandolfini being promoted as a lead actor by the Hollywood Foreign Press? Wouldn't he be a contender for Best Actor in a Comedic or Musical Picture? I can't see this as being a smart move by any means as he's currently picking up traction as a supporting actor, but isn't that the case?
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Re: 2014 Golden Globe Predictions

Postby anonymous1980 » Tue Dec 10, 2013 12:37 am

My predictions:

BEST MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA
Blue Jasmine
Captain Phillips
Gravity
Saving Mr. Banks
12 Years a Slave


BEST MOTION PICTURE - MUSICAL or COMEDY
American Hustle
Her
Inside Llewyn Davis
Nebraska
The Wolf of Wall Street


BEST ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA
Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years a Slave
Tom Hanks, Captain Phillips
Michael B. Jordan, Fruitvale Station
Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club
Robert Redford, All Is Lost

BEST ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA
Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
Sandra Bullock, Gravity
Judi Dench, Philomena
Adele Exarchopolous, Blue is The Warmest Color
Emma Thompson, Saving Mr. Banks

BEST ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE - MUSICAL or COMEDY
Christian Bale, American Hustle
Bruce Dern, Nebraska
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Wolf of Wall Street
Oscar Isaac, Inside Llewyn Davis
Joaquin Phoenix, Her

BEST ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE - MUSICAL or COMEDY
Amy Adams, American Hustle
Sandra Bullock, The Heat
Greta Gerwig, Frances Ha
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Enough Said
Meryl Streep, August: Osage County

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR FOR A MOTION PICTURE
Michael Fassbender, 12 Years a Slave
James Gandolfini, Enough Said
Tom Hanks, Saving Mr. Banks
Jonah Hill, The Wolf of Wall Street
Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS FOR A MOTION PICTURE
Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle
Lupita Nyong'o, 12 Years a Slave
Sarah Paulson, 12 Years a Slave
June Squibb, Nebraska
Oprah Winfrey, Lee Daniels' The Butler

BEST DIRECTOR FOR A MOTION PICTURE
Woody Allen, Blue Jasmine
Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity
Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave
David O. Russell, American Hustle
Martin Scorsese, The Wolf of Wall Street

BEST SCREENPLAY FOR A MOTION PICTURE
David O. Russell and Eric Singer, American Hustle
Woody Allen, Blue Jasmine
Spike Jonze, Her
John Ridley, 12 Years a Slave
Terence Winter, The Wolf of Wall Street

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE FOR A MOTION PICTURE
John Williams, The Book Thief
Steven Price, Gravity
Arcade Fire, Her
Thomas Newman, Saving Mr. Banks
Hans Zimmer, 12 Years a Slave

BEST ORIGINAL SONG FOR A MOTION PICTURE
"Amen", All is Lost; music & lyrics by Alex Ebert
"Let It Go", Frozen; music by Robert Lopez & lyrics by Kristin Anderson-Lopez
"The Moon Song", Her; music & lyrics by Karen O.
"Please Mr. Kennedy", Inside Llewyn Davis; music & lyrics by T-Bone Burnett, Justin Timberlake, Joel Coen and Ethan Coen.
"Young Beautiful", The Great Gatsby; music & lyrics by Lana del Ray and Rick Nowels.

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Blue is The Warmest Color (France)
The Great Beauty (Italy)
I'm So Excited! (Spain)
The Past (Iran)
Transit (Philippines)

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
The Croods
Despicable Me 2
Frozen
Monsters University
The Wind Rises

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Re: 2014 Golden Globe Predictions

Postby FilmFan720 » Mon Dec 09, 2013 12:04 pm

Put this together, and am shocked to see how similar it is to others on this board. Guess this is a pretty straight forward year for the HFPA.

BEST PICTURE - DRAMA
Captain Phillips
Gravity
Philomena
Saving Mr. Banks
12 Years a Slave

BEST PICTURE - COMEDY
American Hustle
August Osage County
her
Inside Llewyn Davis
The Wolf of Wall Street

BEST ACTOR - DRAMA
Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years a Slave
Idris Elba, Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
Tom Hanks, Captain Phillips
Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club
Robert Redford, All is Lost

BEST ACTOR - COMEDY
Christian Bale, American Hustle
Bradley Cooper, American Hustle
Bruce Dern, Nebraska
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Wolf of Wall Street
Ben Stiller, The Secret Life of Walter Mitty

BEST ACTRESS - DRAMA
Cate Blanchett, Blue jasmine
Sandra Bullock, Gravity
Judi Dench, Philomena
Emma Thompson, Saving Mr. Banks
Kate Winslet, Labor Day

BEST ACTRESS - COMEDY
Amy Adams, American Hustle
Sandra Bullock, The Heat
Julia Louis-Dreyfuss, Enough Said
Melissa McCarthy, The Heat
Meryl Streep, August Osage County

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR (yes, I am predicting 6 nominees)
George Clooney, Gravity
Michael Fassbender, 12 Years a Slave
Harrison Ford, 42
Tom Hanks, Saving Mr. Banks
Jonah HIll, The Wolf of Wall Street
Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Jennier Garner, Dallas Buyers Club
Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle
Julia Roberts, August Osage County
Lupita Nyong'o, 12 Years a Slave
Oprah Winfrey, Lee Daniels' The Butler

BEST DIRECTOR
Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity
Paul Greengrass, Captain Phillips
Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave
David O. Russell, American Hustle
Martin Scorsese, The Wolf of Wall Street

BEST SCREENPLAY
American Hustle
August Osage County
Blue Jasmine
Philomena
12 Years a Slave

BEST SCORE
The Book Thief
Gravity
Philomena
Saving Mr. Banks
12 Years a Slave

BEST SONG
Atlas; The Hunger Games: Catching Fire
Let It Go; Frozen
Ordinary Love; Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
Rise Up; Epic
Young and Beautiful; The Great Gatsby

BEST ANIMATED FILM
Despicable Me 2
Epic
Frozen
Monster's University
The Wind Rises

BEST FOREIGN FILM
Blue Is the Warmest Color
The Grandmaster
The Hunt
The Past
Renoir
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Re: 2014 Golden Globe Predictions

Postby Sabin » Sun Dec 08, 2013 4:28 pm

Best Dramatic Picture
Blue Jasmine
Captain Phillips
Gravity
Saving Mr. Banks
12 Years a Slave
--early winner prediction: 12 Years a Slave

Best Comedic or Musical Picture
American Hustle
Her
Inside Llewyn Davis
Nebraska
The Wolf of Wall Street
--early winner prediction: American Hustle

Best Foreign-Language Film
Blue is the Warmest Color
Gloria
The Great Beauty
The Hunt
The Past
--early winner prediction: Blue is the Warmest Color

Best Animated Film
Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2
Despicable Me 2
Frozen
Monsters University
The Wind Rises
--early winner prediction: Frozen

Best Actor in a Dramatic Picture
Chiwetel Ejiofer, 12 Years a Slave
Idris Elba, Mandela: The Long Walk to Freedom
Tom Hanks, Captain Phillips
Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers’ Club
Robert Redford, All is Lost
--early winner prediction: Chiwetel Ejiofer, 12 Years a Slave

Best Actor in a Comedic or Musical Picture
Christian Bale, American Hustle
Bruce Dern, Nebraska
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Wolf of Wall Street
James Gandolfini, Enough Said
Joaquin Phoenix, Her
--early winner prediction: Leonardo DiCaprio, The Wolf of Wall Street

Best Actress in a Dramatic Picture
Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
Sandra Bullock, Gravity
Judi Dench, Philomena
Emma Thompson, Saving Mr. Banks
Kate Winslet, Labor Day
--early & final winner prediction: Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine

Best Actress in a Comedic or Musical Picture
Amy Adams, American Hustle
Sandra Bullock, The Heat
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Enough Said
Melissa McCarthy, The Heat
Meryl Streep, August: Osage County
--early winner prediction: Amy Adams, American Hustle

Best Supporting Actor
Michael Fassbender, 12 Years a Slave
Harrison Ford, 42
Tom Hanks, Saving Mr. Banks
Jonah Hill, The Wolf of Wall Street
Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers’ Club
--early winner prediction: Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club

Best Supporting Actress
Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle
Lupito Nyong’o, 12 Years a Slave
Julia Roberts, August: Osage County
June Squibb, Nebraska
Oprah Winfrey, Lee Daniels’ The Butler
--early winner prediction: Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle

Best Director
Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity
Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave
Alexander Payne, Nebraska
David O. Russell, American Hustle
Martin Scorsese, The Wolf of Wall Street
--early winner prediction: Martin Scorsese, The Wolf of Wall Street

Best Screenplay
Joel & Ethan Coen, Inside Llewyn Davis
Bob Nelson, Nebraska
John Ridley, 12 Years a Slave
Eric Warren Singer and David O. Russell, American Hustle
Terence Winter, The Wolf of Wall Street
--early winner prediction: Eric Warren Singer and David O. Russell, American Hustle

Best Original Score
The Book Thief
Captain Phillips
Gravity
Her
12 Years a Slave
--early winner prediction: 12 Years a Slave

Best Original Song
“Atlas”, The Hunger Games: Catching Fire
“Let It Go”, Frozen
“The Moon Song”, Her
“You and I Ain’t Nothing No More”, Lee Daniels’ The Butler
“Young and Beautiful”, The Great Gatsby
--early winner prediction: "Young and Beautiful", The Great Gatsby
"If you are marching with white nationalists, you are by definition not a very nice person. If Malala Yousafzai had taken part in that rally, you'd have to say 'Okay, I guess Malala sucks now.'" ~ John Oliver

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Re: 2014 Golden Globe Predictions

Postby The Original BJ » Sat Dec 07, 2013 6:39 pm

Also worth pointing out that this year provides perhaps the strongest field of Comedy candidates in recent memory -- American Hustle, August: Osage County, Her, Inside Llewyn Davis, Nebraska, and The Wolf of Wall Street look like major Oscar-bait, to say nothing of a strong second tier of indie candidates that might pop up in the acting categories (Enough Said, Before Midnight, Frances Ha).

Of course, classifying some of these movies as "comedies" is interesting -- August: Osage County, despite having some laughs, strikes me as REALLY stretching it. But even Nebraska, Inside Llewyn Davis, and Before Midnight seem more like poignant dramas with humor rather than full-out comedies (though I guess Davis can count as a musical as well.) And though I haven't seen them, nothing in the American Hustle or Wolf of Wall Street trailers suggest those movies are anything to close to hysterical. In a way, you can almost understand why the folks behind well-received comedy hits like The Heat feel jilted by awards -- even when there is a specific category for comedies, dramas in drag get consideration first. (Not making any qualitative judgment on The Heat -- I haven't seen it -- but just pointing out that it very likely would have placed in some years, certainly the Alice in Wonderland/Burlesque/The Tourist slate of a couple years back.)

In Oscar terms, this pleasingly keeps the field muddied for longer, as the overflowing list of contenders (especially in the lead acting categories) are split somewhat evenly between the drama and comedy slates.

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Re: 2014 Golden Globe Predictions

Postby Reza » Fri Dec 06, 2013 11:28 am

I also think Dench is going to be a real threat to Blanchett. She has been getting across the board raves.


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