The Original BJ wrote:A year ago I couldn't fathom myself making such a statement, but I think I'm rooting for Adam McKay to win the DGA this year?
I'm right behind you.
People ALWAYS over-react to the DGA list, expecting AMPAS to match 5-for-5. As I said earlier, though it got completely lost in the Affleck/Bigelow imbroglio, I recall people here believing Tom Hooper's Les Miz nod at DGA was going to get him Academy-cited.
This list isn't just down the middle -- it's down the middle with guy movies. When a Mad Max sequel is your big female representative, it's hard not to feel the testosterone is flowing pretty heavy. If Carol, Room and Brooklyn are all missing from the best picture list, in what seemed a banner year for women-centered films, there's an easy-to-write #OscarsSoMale article that will give the Academy headaches.
But there are reasons to believe those three films -- Carol especially -- will do better Thursday than they did today. 1) Recent Academy invitee lists have made clear efforts to increase female membership (along with minority membership), something the Guilds haven't done. 2) Let's not forget Carol's dominant presence at BAFTA. There's some significant overlap in membership between BAFTA and AMPAS, and the Brit contingent has been thought to help other films in the past (like Atonement, which also did poorly at the Guilds, but got onto the best picture list at the Academy). 3) Harvey Weinstein can seem weakened in the early stages, but often rallies on nominations day. In 2012, he got Silver Linings Playbook (a DGA omittee) nomination in the top six categories -- as well as Django for best picture, and all three uncertain actors from The Master. A year later (less admirably) he got Philomena a best picture slot, and the much-doubted Streep onto the best actress slate. And last year (again, not to his credit), he got the wobbly Morten Tyldum into best director (though this time with DGA help). Let's not draw conclusions before we've seen his final handiwork.
In the 80-year history of the NY Film Critics Award, only two best picture winners have failed to be nominated for either best picture or best director at the Oscars: Topsy Turvy and Far from Heaven. They couldn't do it to Haynes twice; could they?