NBR Predictions

Mister Tee
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Re: NBR Predictions

Postby Mister Tee » Tue Nov 28, 2017 3:32 pm

(I'VE COPIED FLIPP'S LIST FROM BELOW, THEN ADDED THE LONGER LISTS, TO TRY AND GATHER THE WHOLE SLATE IN ONE PLACE)

Best Picture: The Post
Best Director: Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird
Best Actress: Meryl Streep, The Post
Best Actor: Tom Hanks, The Post
Best Supporting Actress: Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird
Best Supporting Actor: Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project
Best Ensemble: Get Out
Best Breakthrough: Timothee Chalamet, Call Me By Your Name
Best Adapted Screenplay: The Disaster Artist
Best Original Screenplay: Phantom Thread
Best Animated Feature: Coco
Spotlight Award: Patty Jenkins & Gal Gadot for Wonder Woman

Ten Best after The Post:

Baby Driver
Call Me By Your Name
The Disaster Artist
Downsizing
Dunkirk
The Florida Project
Get Out
Lady Bird
Logan
Phantom Thread

Top Ten Indies:

Beatriz at Dinner
Brigsby Bear
A Ghost Story
Lady Macbeth
Logan Lucky
Loving Vincent
Menashe
Norman: The Moderate Rise and Tragic Fall of a New York Fixer
Patti Cake$
Wind River

Top 5 Foreign Language Films (after Foxtrot):

A Fantastic Woman
Frantz
Loveless
Summer 1993
The Square

Top 5 Documentaries (after Jane):

Abacus: Small Enough to Jail
Brimstone & Glory
Eric Clapton: Life in 12 Bars
Faces Places
Hell On Earth: The Fall of Syria and the Rise of ISIS

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Re: NBR Predictions

Postby Mister Tee » Tue Nov 28, 2017 3:30 pm

flipp525 wrote:They went gaga for The Post and completely ignored Three Billboards. :shock:

Also Shape of Water, Darkest Hour and I, Tonya were completely omitted, while Phantom Thread and The Disaster Artist made a good showing. So, surprises at either end of the spectrum.

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flipp525
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Re: NBR Predictions

Postby flipp525 » Tue Nov 28, 2017 3:27 pm

They went gaga for The Post and completely ignored Three Billboards. :shock:
"The mantle of spinsterhood was definitely in her shoulders. She was twenty five and looked it."

-Gone With the Wind by Margaret Mitchell

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Re: NBR Predictions

Postby Sabin » Tue Nov 28, 2017 3:24 pm

"Don't forget. The National Board of Review is getting a little edgier these days," said nobody ever again.
"If you are marching with white nationalists, you are by definition not a very nice person. If Malala Yousafzai had taken part in that rally, you'd have to say 'Okay, I guess Malala sucks now.'" ~ John Oliver

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flipp525
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Re: NBR Predictions

Postby flipp525 » Tue Nov 28, 2017 3:09 pm

The winners...

Best Picture: The Post
Best Director: Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird
Best Actress: Meryl Streep, The Post
Best Actor: Tom Hanks, The Post
Best Supporting Actress: Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird
Best Supporting Actor: Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project
Best Ensemble: Get Out
Best Breakthrough: Timothee Chalamet, Call Me By Your Name
Best Adapted Screenplay: The Disaster Artist
Best Original Screenplay: Phantom Thread
Last edited by flipp525 on Tue Nov 28, 2017 3:27 pm, edited 1 time in total.
"The mantle of spinsterhood was definitely in her shoulders. She was twenty five and looked it."



-Gone With the Wind by Margaret Mitchell

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Re: NBR Predictions

Postby ThePianist » Tue Nov 28, 2017 1:34 am

I concur these are never 'fun.' But I'll try to make it so. (I guess.)

Best Picture: Dunkirk (ALT: Get Out)
Best Actor: Jake Gyllenhaal - Stronger (ALT: James Franco - The Disaster Artist)
Best Actress: Sally Hawkins - The Shape of Water (ALT: Jessica Chastain - Molly's Game)
Best Director: Jordan Peele - Get Out (ALT: Christopher Nolan - Dunkirk)
Best Supporting Actor: Willem Dafoe - The Florida Project
Best Supporting Actress: Allison Janney - I, Tonya
Breakthrough Performance: Male: Timothée Chalamet (CMBYN, Lady Bird) - Female: Brooklyn Prince (The Florida Project)
Screenplay - Adapted: Mudbound
Screenplay - Original: Get Out
Best Cast: Mudbound
Animated Film: Coco

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Re: NBR Predictions

Postby Sabin » Mon Nov 27, 2017 12:31 pm

This one is just no fun to predict ever...who honestly knows? I'm not going to predict them all. Just the major ones.

Best Picture: THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE EBBING, MISSOURI
Best Director: THE SHAPE OF WATER / Guillermo Del Toro
Best Actor: DARKEST HOUR / Gary Oldman
Best Actress: THE SHAPE OF WATER/ Sally Hawkins
Best Supporting Actor: THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE EBBING, MISSOURI / Sam Rockwell
Best Supporting Actress: MARJORIE PRIME & LADY BIRD / Lois Smith
Best Original Screenplay: THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE EBBING, MISSOURI
Best Adapted Screenplay: MUDBOUND
Best Animated Film: COCO
Breakthrough Performance (Male): CALL ME BY YOUR NAME & LADY BIRD / Timothee Chalamet
Breakthrough Performance (Female): THE FLORIDA PROJECT/ Brooklynn Prince
Directorial Debut: so, here's the thing...are we considering LADY BIRD a first film, then for sure! Lady Bird wins. But it's not her first film. She co-directed one already. If Lady Bird isn't eligible, then COLUMBUS.
Ensemble: THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE EBBING, MISSOURI
NBR Freedom of Expression: GET OUT
"If you are marching with white nationalists, you are by definition not a very nice person. If Malala Yousafzai had taken part in that rally, you'd have to say 'Okay, I guess Malala sucks now.'" ~ John Oliver

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Re: NBR Predictions

Postby anonymous1980 » Mon Nov 27, 2017 2:02 am

Picture: The Post
Director: Guillermo Del Toro, The Shape of Water
Actor: Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
Actress: Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Supporting Actor: Michael Stuhlbarg, Call Me By Your Name
Supporting Actress: Allison Janney, I, Tonya
Original Screenplay: Martin McDonagh, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Adapted Screenplay: James Ivory, Call Me By Your Name
Animated Feature: Coco
Foreign Language Film: A Fantastic Woman
Documentary: Jane
Breakthrough Performance (Male): Timothee Chalamet, Call Me By Your Name
Breakthrough Performance (Female): Brooklynn Prince, The Florida Project
Directorial Debut: Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird
Ensemble: The Post
NBR Freedom of Expression: Get Out

Top 10:
The Big Sick
Call Me By Your Name
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
The Florida Project
Get Out
Lady Bird
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri


Top Foreign Films:
BPM (Beats Per Minute)
In the Fade
Loveless
On Body and Soul
The Square


Top Documentaries:
Kedi
Last Men in Aleppo
Motherland
Oklahoma City
Step


Top Independent Films:
Beatriz at Dinner
Columbus
The Disaster Artist
Good Time
Ingrid Goes West
The Killing of a Sacred Deer
Marjorie Prime
Mudbound
Patti Cake$
The Rider

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Re: NBR Predictions

Postby Big Magilla » Sun Nov 26, 2017 10:35 pm

Best Film: Dunkirk (Warner Bros.)
(ru: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)

Ten Best:

Blade Runner 2049
Call Me By Your Name
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
Get Out
The Post
The Shape of Water
Stronger
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Wonder

Top Ten Independent Films:

Beatriz at Dinner
The Big Sick
The Florida Project
Lady Bird
Marjorie Prime
Maudie
Mudbound
Novitiate
A Quiet Passion
Wind River

Best Actor: Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
(ru: Jake Gyllenhaal, Stronger; Andrew Garfield, Breathe)

Best Actress: Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
(ru: Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water; Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird)

Best. Supp. Actor: Michael Stuhlbarg (Call Me By Your Name)
(ru: Armie Hammer, Call Me By Your Name; Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)

Best. Supp. Actress: Lois Smith, Marjorie Prime
(ru: Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird; Allison Janney, I, Tonya)

Best Director: Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk)
(ru: Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water; Luca Guadagnino, Call Me By Your Name)

Best Adapted Screenplay: Call Me by Your Name
(ru: Last Flag Flying; Mudbound)

Best Original Screenplay: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri
(ru: Lady Bird; The Shape of Water)

Best Animated Feature: Loving Vincent
(ru: Coco)

Best Documentary: Cries from Syria
(ru: Jane)

Best Foreign-Language Film: The Square
(ru: BPM)

Best Breakthrough (Male): Timothée Chalamet, Call Me by Your Name
(ru: None)

Best Breakthrough (Female): Brooklynn Prince (The Florida Project)
(ru: None)

Best Ensemble: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
(ru: Lady Bird; The Shape of Water)

Directorial Debut: Jordan Peale, Get Out
(ru: Margaret Betts, Novitiate)
“‎Life is a shipwreck, but we must not forget to sing in the lifeboats.” - Voltaire

Mister Tee
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NBR Predictions

Postby Mister Tee » Sun Nov 26, 2017 8:52 pm

So, the year’s first set of predictions. A bit like opening the first Christmas gift – you know it’s all going to start coming fast and furious once you begin.

Things to note about NBR (back in its long- traditional position, leading off the season):

• It’s not your father’s NBR – the group that picked Far from the Madding Crowd, A Room with a View and Driving Miss Daisy (and would have fawned over Darkest Hour this year) is no more…No Country for Old Men and Her put an end to their stuffy old reputation.

• They do, however, have new idiosyncrasies, some of which won’t figure in this year’s picks (there’s nothing from Eastwood, the Coens or Spike Jonze, three long-running enthusiasms), but some of which likely will (never bet against a Warner Brothers film making the cut).

• Sometimes they pick a best film and then a ten-best list; sometimes the best film’s included in the ten.

• They’re not averse to bending rules – if they need to, they’ll declare someone who’s been around for years a Breakthrough performer. (Speaking of bent rules: there’s some dispute whether Lady Bird counts as Gerwig’s first film, since she’s listed as co-creator of 2008’s Night and Weekends.)

All that said, my idle speculation about what they might honor this year:

Best Film: The Shape of Water

Ten Best:

Blade Runner 2049
Call Me by Your Name
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
Get Out
Lady Bird
Mudbound
The Post
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Wonder Woman

Best Actor: Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour) – the one old-time award I think he’ll win
(ru: Jake Gyllenhaal (Stronger), James Franco (The Disaster Artist))

Best Actress: Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird)
(ru: Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water), Frances McDormand (Three Billboards…))

Best. Sup. Actor: Michael Stuhlbarg (Call Me by Your Name)
(ru: Richard Jenkins (The Shape of Water), Sam Rockwell (Three Billboards…))

Best. Sup. Actress: Allison Janney (I, Tonya)
(ru: Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird), Leslie Manville (The Phantom Thread))

Best Director: Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk)
(ru: Guillermo del Toro (The Shape of Water), Denis Villeneuve (Blade Runner 2049))

Best Adapted Screenplay: Call Me by Your Name
(ru: Mudbound, Molly’s Game)

Best Original Screenplay: Three Billboards…
(ru: Lady Bird, Get Out)

Best Animated Feature: Coco
(ru: The LEGO Batman Movie)

Best Documentary: Jane
(ru: Ex Libris)

Best Foreign-Language Film: A Fantastic Woman
(ru: BPM)

Best First Film: Lady Bird
(ru: Get Out)

Best Ensemble: Three Billboards…
(ru: Lady Bird, The Shape of Water)

Best Breakthrough (Male): Timothee Chalamet (Call Me by Your Name) & (Lady Bird)
(ru: Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out))

Best Breakthrough (Female): Brooklynn Prince (The Florida Project)
(ru: Hong Chau (Downsizing))


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