SAG Awards

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ThePianist
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Re: SAG Awards

Postby ThePianist » Tue Dec 12, 2017 8:03 pm

Noms are tomorrow. Damn, this is getting intense.

Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture
Lady Bird
Get Out
Mudbound
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
The Shape of Water


(This category. PHEW.) :shock:

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role
Timothée Chalamet - Call Me By Your Name
Gary Oldman - Darkest Hour
James Franco - The Disaster Artist
Daniel Day Lewis - Phantom Thread
Jake Gyllenhaal - Stronger


It's hard to tell if Kaluuya is a nonstarter. If 'Get Out' does so well with them that they give it an ensemble nod, then I suppose he can sneak in. After all, 'The Screen Actors Guild' is a very socially conscious group. It all depends if Day Lewis is name-checked here. His film and 'The Post' were both late screeners, so who knows? Also, I'm betting on Gyllenhaal being that odd-man 'Emily Blunt' nom that doesn't make the final Oscar Cut. (Without the BAFTA nod, of course.)

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role
Margot Robbie - I, Tonya
Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird
Jessica Chastain - Molly's Game
Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water
Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri


Damn right, I'm going that bold in predicting that Streep is shut out. Oh yeah, she'll still get in for that Oscar nod. But not here. Judi Dench could even upset her. After all, "Dame Judi" is still pretty popular with these blokes. Regardless, someone will take Meryl's SAG spot.

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role
Armie Hammer - Call Me By Your Name
Willem Dafoe - The Florida Project
Jason Mitchell - Mudbound
Richard Jenkins - The Shape of Water
Sam Rockwell - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri


If Stuhlbarg is nominated alongside Hammer, then there's no way CMBYN still "doesn't have any chance" at hitting ensemble. If TSOW can get 3 acting noms including ensemble, then I don't see why CMBYN can't. I don't care If the cast is comprised of only 6 people. Strangers things have happened. But alas, I'm not entirely sure this is happening. I feel like the SAG could fall for Mudbound.

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role
Tiffany Haddish - Girls Trip
Allison Janney - I, Tonya
Laurie Metcalf - Lady Bird
Mary J. Blige - Mudbound
Octavia Spencer - The Shape of Water


Self-Explanatory.

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Re: SAG Awards

Postby Sabin » Tue Dec 12, 2017 4:21 pm

SAG nominations come out tomorrow. This is what I'm looking for...

This year is overflowing with contenders for Best Ensemble, and in a year where the Best Picture race is all over the place, this matters. Right now there are roughly seven films in the running for Best Picture: 'The Shape of Water,' 'Dunkirk,' 'The Post,' 'Lady Bird,' 'Get Out,' 'Three Billboards...' and 'Call Me By Your Name.' With the exception of 'Dunkirk,' they are all possible contenders for Best Ensemble. Every single heavy in the race is gunning for this award. That wasn't the case last year, when 'La La Land' wasn't really in the mix or the year before where 'The Martian' and 'The Revenant' were a stretch. This year, it's all of them, and they're up against films that won't win Best Picture but they will doubtlessly have fans in the Screen Actor's Guild like 'Mudbound,' 'The Disaster Artist,' 'Girls Trip,' 'The Big Sick,' 'I, Tonya,' even 'Battle of the Sexes.'

I feel very confident that 'Get Out' will be nominated. It's almost inconceivable to me that it missed out. 'Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri' should be the kind of films that actors go for as well. I'm less confident about 'Lady Bird.' The ensemble is wonderful but sometimes smaller quirkier films don't go over like you think they will. For example, 'Juno' failed to get a nomination in a lineup that instead went for 'American Gangster' and '3:10 to Yuma.' And 'The Post' certainly seems like the kind of film they would honor...if they've had the opportunity to see it, and I'm not sure they have.

The biggest question mark to me is 'The Shape of Water.' We're early in the race for sure, but it seems unlikely that 'The Shape of Water' will miss nominations from the PGA, the DGA, or the BAFTA to me. If it can get a nomination for its cast, then that is a very wide range of support and perhaps we can start thinking about it as the new front-runner.
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Re: SAG Awards

Postby FilmFan720 » Tue Dec 12, 2017 8:23 am

I'll take a stab at these. I feel there could be a few surprises here.

BEST ACTOR
Timothee Chamalet, Call Me By Your Name
Daniel Day Lewis, Phantom Thread
Tom Hanks, The Post
James McAvoy, Split
Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour

BEST ACTRESS
Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water
Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird
Margot Robbie, I, Toyna
Meryl Streep, The Post

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project
Idris Elba, Molly's Game
Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water
Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Ray Romano, The Big Sick

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Mary J. Blige, Mudbound
Holly Hunter, The Big Sick
Allison Janney, I, Tonya
Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird
Julia Roberts, Wonder

BEST ENSEMBLE
Get Out
Lady Bird
The Post
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Wonder
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Re: SAG Awards

Postby Big Magilla » Tue Dec 12, 2017 4:47 am

criddic3 wrote:
Big Magilla wrote:There are always a few surprises with these, but no Christopher Plummer, unless they vote for him in The Man Who Invented Christmas.


Or "The Exception."

Yeah, but only about ten of us saw that one. As I said in my review, had they kept the original title of The Kaiser's Last Kiss it might have been a bit more of a success but there was nothing exceptional about the new title even though it had meaning to the plot.
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Re: SAG Awards

Postby criddic3 » Tue Dec 12, 2017 12:33 am

Big Magilla wrote:There's always a few surprises with these, but no Christopher Plummer, unless they vote for him in The Man Who Invented Christmas.


Or "The Exception."
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Re: SAG Awards

Postby Big Magilla » Mon Dec 11, 2017 2:41 pm

There are always a few surprises with these, but no Christopher Plummer, unless they vote for him in The Man Who Invented Christmas.

BEST MALE ACTOR
Timothée Chalamet, Call Me By Your Name
Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread
James Franco, The Disaster Artist
Tom Hanks, The Post
Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour

BEST FEMALE ACTOR
Judi Dench, Victoria and Abdul
Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water
Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird
Meryl Streep, The Post

BEST SUPPORTING MALE
Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project
Armie Hammer, Call Me By Your Name
Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water
Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Michael Stuhlbarg, Call Me By Your Name

BEST SUPPORTING FEMALE
Hong Chau, Downsizing
Allison Janney, I, Tonya
Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird
Lois Smith, Marjorie Prime
Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water

BEST ENSEMBLE CAST
Dunkirk
Get Out
Lady Bird
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

BEST STUNT CAST
Blade Runner 2017
Dunkirk
Spider-Man: Homecoming
Star-Wars: The Last Jedi
War for the Planet of the Apes
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Re: SAG Awards

Postby Sabin » Mon Dec 11, 2017 2:36 pm

If the Hollywood Foreign Press went for Blige, then the Screen Actor's Guild will as well.
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Re: SAG Awards

Postby The Original BJ » Mon Dec 11, 2017 2:29 pm

Guess I should take a stab at predicting these before Wednesday!

BEST ACTOR
Timothée Chalamet, Call Me By Your Name
Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread
James Franco, The Disaster Artist
Tom Hanks, The Post
Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour

BEST ACTRESS
Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water
Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Margot Robbie, I, Tonya
Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird
Meryl Streep, The Post

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project
Armie Hammer, Call Me By Your Name
Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water
Jason Mitchell, Mudbound
Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Hong Chau, Downsizing
Tiffany Haddish, Girls Trip
Allison Janney, I, Tonya
Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird
Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water

ENSEMBLE CAST
Get Out
Lady Bird
Mudbound
The Post
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

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Re: SAG Awards

Postby MaxWilder » Sat Dec 09, 2017 1:10 pm

Looks like no one is NOT predicting a nod for Streep. This is horrible for film. (Blaming the voters, not the predictors.)

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Re: SAG Awards

Postby criddic3 » Sat Dec 09, 2017 5:30 am

Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture
Call Me By Your Name
Get Out
Mudbound
The Post
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role
Timothée Chalamet - Call Me By Your Name
James Franco - The Disaster Artist
Tom Hanks, The Post
Daniel Day Lewis, Phantom Thread
Gary Oldman - Darkest Hour

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role
Annette Bening, Film Stars Don't Die in Liverpool
Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water
Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird
Meryl Streep - The Post

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role
Willem Dafoe - The Florida Project
Richard Jenkins - The Shape of Water
Jason Mitchell - Mudbound
Sam Rockwell - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Patrick Stewart, Logan

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role
Holly Hunter - The Big Sick
Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water
Allison Janney - I, Tonya
Melissa Leo, Novitiate
Laurie Metcalf - Lady Bird
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Re: SAG Awards

Postby Sabin » Fri Dec 08, 2017 12:02 am

Edited 12/11/17

BEST ENSEMBLE
GET OUT
GIRLS TRIP
MUDBOUND
THE SHAPE OF WATER
THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE EBBING, MISSOURI

BEST MALE LEAD
CALL ME BY YOUR NAME / Timothy Chalamet
DARKEST HOUR / Gary Oldman
THE DISASTER ARTIST / James Franco
GET OUT/ Daniel Kaluuya
THE POST / Tom Hanks

BEST FEMALE LEAD
I, TONYA / Margot Robbie
LADY BIRD / Saoirse Ronan
THE POST / Meryl Streep
THE SHAPE OF WATER / Sally Hawkins
THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE EBBING, MISSOURI / Frances McDormand

BEST SUPPORTING MALE
CALL ME BY YOUR NAME / Armie Hammer
THE FLORIDA PROJECT / Willem DaFoe
MUDBOUND / Jason Mitchell
THE SHAPE OF WATER / Richard Jenkins
THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE EBBING, MISSOURI / Sam Rockwell

BEST SUPPORTING FEMALE
GIRLS TRIP / Tiffany Haddish
I, TONYA / Allison Janney
LADY BIRD / Laurie Metcalf
MUDBOUND / Mary J. Blige
THE SHAPE OF WATER/ Octavia Spencer

BEST STUNT ENSEMBLE
DUNKIRK
THE FATE OF THE FURIOUS
LOGAN
WAR FOR THE PLANET OF THE APES
WONDER WOMAN
Last edited by Sabin on Mon Dec 11, 2017 3:56 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: SAG Awards

Postby Mister Tee » Thu Dec 07, 2017 4:35 pm

While of course all the SAG categories are of interest, the solo acting ones aren't generally dispositive -- an oddball choice like Mirren/Woman in Gold or Blunt/Girl on the Train is highly likely to disappear when AMPAS offers a corrective ballot.

But Cast/Ensemble has been shown to matter or at least seem to. We've all understood that certain recent contenders were, for specific reasons, apt not to show up in the category: Gravity, The Revenant, La La Land. Yet when, in the end, these films failed to take best picture despite strong runs. the failure to show up at SAG always seems to be, in retrospect, where the air started to leak out of the balloon. All of which is to say, if you really want to contend for best picture, you'll want to grab a slot here.

Two things about that: 1) SAG has had an odd habit of putting ringers into the category, films with no best picture hope -- really bad ones like Bobby or Nine, in Harvey's heyday, but even recently with The Butler, Trumbo and Captain Fantastic. This can have the effect of reducing the number of slots available for this crucial precursor. 2) This particular year, there is a surfeit of films that qualify for/need this nod: Three Billboards, Lady Bird, The Post, Shape of Water. Get Out, Call Me by Your Name (I haven't seen the last one; does it maybe fall in La La Land "there's only a few characters" territory?). Maybe Mudbound, given how Netflix seems to score well at this Guild. Any one of these that fails to make the cut will suffer a crushing, perhaps fatal blow in the best picture race.

I don't have any conclusion to this. I could pick five, but it'd be guessing, because all six or seven need it (and that's not even considering the Weird SAG-y potential for them to throw in, from different spectrum ends, The Florida Project or Girls Trip). Listening to this category being read out may be one of the key moments of the season.

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Re: SAG Awards

Postby ThePianist » Thu Dec 07, 2017 4:12 pm

I'll give these fuckers this: they are unpredictable in almost every sense. Taking a gamble on CMBYN getting an Ensemble nod.

Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture
Call Me By Your Name
Get Out
Lady Bird
Mudbound
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role
Timothée Chalamet - Call Me By Your Name
Gary Oldman - Darkest Hour
James Franco - The Disaster Artist
Daniel Kalyuua - Get Out
Jake Gyllenhaal - Stronger

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role
Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird
Meryl Streep - The Post
Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water
Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Judi Dench - Victoria and Abdul

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role
Michael Stuhlbarg - Call Me by Your Name
Willem Dafoe - The Florida Project
Jason Mitchell - Mudbound
Richard Jenkins - The Shape of Water
Sam Rockwell - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role
Holly Hunter - The Big Sick
Tiffany Haddish - Girls Trip
Allison Janney - I, Tonya
Laurie Metcalf - Lady Bird
Mary J. Blidge - Mudbound

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Re: SAG Awards

Postby Precious Doll » Thu Dec 07, 2017 7:22 am

I loath them, but what the hell.....

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A CAST IN A MOTION PICTURE

Get Out
Lady Bird
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Wonder

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Timothee Chalamet, Call Me By Your Name
Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread
James Franco, The Disaster Artist
Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out
Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour

(took out Jake Gyllenhaal and replaced him with Daniel Kaluuya)

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A FEMALE ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water
Judi Dench, Victoria & Abdul
Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird
Meryl Streep, The Post

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project
Armie Hammer, Call Me By Your Name
Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Michael Shannon, The Shape of Water
Michael Stuhlbarg, Call Me By Your Name

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A FEMALE ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Mary J. Blige, Mudbound
Tiffany Haddish, Girls Trip
Allison Janney, I, Tonya
Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird
Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A STUNT ENSEMBLE IN A MOTION PICTURE
Dunkirk
Logan
Spider-Man: Homecoming
Thor: Ragnarok
Wonder Woman
Last edited by Precious Doll on Fri Dec 08, 2017 12:37 am, edited 1 time in total.
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SAG Awards

Postby anonymous1980 » Thu Dec 07, 2017 5:52 am

Let's predict and discuss it in this thread when the noms come out.

My predictions:

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A CAST IN A MOTION PICTURE

Get Out
LIl Rey Howery, Caleb Landry Jones, Daniel Kaluuya, Catherine Keener, Stephen Root, Lakeith Stanfield, Bradley Whitford and Alison Williams.

Girls Trip
Mike Colter, Tiffany Haddish, Regina Hall, Queen Latifah, Jada Pinkett Smith, Larenz Tate and Kate Walsh.

Lady Bird
Timothee Chalamet, Beanie Feldstein, Lucas Hedges, Stephen McKinley Henderson, Tracey Letts, Laurie Metcalf, Saoirse Ronan and Lois Smith.

Mudbound
Jonathan Banks, Mary J. Blige, Jason Clarke, Garrett Hedlund, Jason Mitchell, Rob Morgan and Carey Mulligan.

The Post
Bruce Greenwood, Tom Hanks, Tracey Letts, Bob Odenkirk, Sarah Paulson, Matthew Rhys, Meryl Streep and Bradley Whitford,

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Timothee Chalamet as Elio Pearlman, Call Me By Your Name
Daniel Day-Lewis as Reynolds Woodcock, Phantom Thread
James Franco as Tommy Wiseau, The Disaster Artist
Jake Gyllenhaal as Jeff Bauman, Stronger
Gary Oldman as Winston Churchill, Darkest Hour

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A FEMALE ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Sally Hawkins as Elisa Esposito, The Shape of Water
Frances McDormand as Mildred Hayes, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Margot Robbie as Tonya Harding, I, Tonya
Saoirse Ronan as Christine "Lady Bird" McPherson, Lady Bird
Meryl Streep as Kay Graham, The Post

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A MALE ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Willem Dafoe as Bobby Hicks, The Florida Project
Armie Hammer as Oliver, Call Me By Your Name
Jason Mitchell as Ronsel Jackson, Mudbound
Sam Rockwell as Officer Jason Dixon, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Michael Stuhlbarg as Mr. Pearlman, Call Me By Your Name

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A FEMALE ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Mary J. Blige as Florence Jackson, Mudbound
Tiffany Haddish as Dina, Girls Trip
Allison Janney as LaVona Fay Golden, I, Tonya
Laurie Metcalf as Marion McPherson, Lady Bird
Julia Roberts as Isabel Pullman, Wonder

OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE BY A STUNT ENSEMBLE IN A MOTION PICTURE
Dunkirk
Logan
Spider-Man: Homecoming
Thor: Ragnarok
Wonder Woman


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