Sabin wrote: Nixon had to deal with a Democratic Congress and Senate. Trump doesn't.
I've said a similar thing in conversations recently. The Republicans would have to be really embarrassed by President Trump or have real pressure applied in order to try to throw him out. It's a long and exhausting process to impeach and convict. Anyone remember the Clinton impeachment? Took nearly 2 years, half a term. Certainly would make for great theater, with everyone holding their breathes nervously as proceedings were heard and a trial was conducted. Realistically this is impractical for Republicans. They just had a major setback on health care. They are going to move on to tax reform and of course the border wall. The Russian-connection thing is just gonna go around in circles and will eventually peter out unless something big is found soon. So I agree with Sabin that "we're just stuck with him."
Some people say that there's a big switch about to happen with the midterms, but I doubt it.
Here are the stats:
Republicans have 9 Senate Seats up for election next year. Democrats have 23. In order for Democrats to regain the chamber, they would have to hold all of their seats and pick up 6 while also holding on to the two independent seats that caucus with them. 8 seats. They are not likely to flip all 9 Republican seats and they will probably lose a few of their own. Not an easy task.
Democrats need a net gain of 24 seats in the House. If there is a wave like 2006 (where they gained 31) then it is possible. But what would be the catalyst for a wave towards the Democrats in a midterm, which in recent times has skewed more toward a conservative electorate?
My guess is something more dramatic will have to occur for Democrats to take back one or -- certainly -- both houses.
"If you can't stand the nut on the left and you can't stand the nut on the right, go for the Johnson,” Jonathan S. Bush (10/21/2016)