Box Office Predix - What will be the blockbusters of 08?

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OscarGuy
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Postby OscarGuy » Tue Jun 03, 2008 7:15 am

I find it fun to look back at predix. Everyone predicted good, but lower numbers for Iron Man (which has already passed all of your predictions and looks destined for the $300+M club) whereas Prince Caspian has significantly underperformed.
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Postby rolotomasi99 » Tue Apr 29, 2008 3:12 pm

Zahveed wrote:I can understand [IRON MAN] being a high grosser but I don't see it surpassing [THE DARK KNIGHT]. I might just be biased, but with all things considered, this year's Batman is Indy's strongest rival.

i completely agree. THE DARK KNIGHT had everything going for it to be the number one film even before a single shot was completed, but after ledger's death this film is ready to pass into legend. i was pleasantly surprised by BATMAN BEGINS and THE DARK KNIGHT looks even more bold and beautiful.

IRON MAN looks fun, but very bland. no style or emotional range. it certainly has an advantage by being the first summer movie and will probably open with $70 million, but the next week SPEED RACER opens and then PRINCE CASPIAN and then THE KINGDOM OF THE CRYSTAL SKULL.

the only big film opening the week after THE DARK KNIGHT is THE X-FILES 2 and then the next week is the MUMMY 3.

while SPIDER-MAN 3 definitely benefited from being the first summer movie, TRANSFORMERS equally benefited by being one of the last. i sure hope THE DARK KNIGHT is the champ.
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Postby Zahveed » Tue Apr 29, 2008 2:54 pm

I can understand it being a high grosser but I don't see it surpassing TDK. I might just be biased, but with all things considered, this year's Batman is Indy's strongest rival.
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Postby OscarGuy » Tue Apr 29, 2008 2:46 pm

I can agree with you on Panda, Zahveed, but I have a LOT of friends and associates that are comic book fans and the buzz is pretty high. They are stoked by the previews and with reviews coming in on the "comic book movie with brains" side, it could be a much larger hit than you think. I know I'm kind of excited and I don't often get that way about comic book adaptations.
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Postby Zahveed » Tue Apr 29, 2008 2:40 pm

That's pretty messed up having TDK in-between Iron Man (a comic book movie based on a second-tier superhero with only a moderate anticipation level) and Kung-Fu Panda (a sub-par looking cgi flick in no contention with Wall-E).
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Postby Big Magilla » Tue Apr 29, 2008 12:03 pm

I have no clue about these things, but hese are Entertainment Weekly's summer movie take predictions for what they're worth:

1. Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull, $355.9 million

2. The Chronicles of Narnia: Prince Caspian, $310.8 million

3. Hancock, $280.4 million

4. Wall-E, $280.3 million

5. Iron Man, $262.7 million

6. The Dark Knight, $255.0 million

7. Kung Fu Panda, $224.6 million

8. The Mummy: Tomb of the Dragon Emperor, $176.5 million

9. The Incredible Hulk, $147.2 million

10. Tropic Thunder, $142.6 million
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Postby rolotomasi99 » Tue Apr 29, 2008 10:48 am

revised list as we enter the summer movie season. there is usually at least one prestige movie in the top 20 (JUNO, AMERICAN GANGSTER last year), but i cannot for the life of me figure out what it could be.


1. THE DARK KNIGHT -- $350
2. THE HALF BLOOD PRINCE -- $310
3. THE KINGDOM OF THE CRYSTAL SKULL -- $300
4. HANCOCK -- $295
5. PRINCE CASPIAN -- $290
6. WALL-E -- $270
7. IRON MAN -- $260
8. TROPIC THUNDER -- $230
9. MADAGASCAR 2 -- $210
10. SEX AND THE CITY -- $190
11. YES MAN -- $180
12. QUANTAM OF SOLACE -- $175
13. THE MUMMY 3 -- $165
14. HORTON HEARS A WHO -- $160
15. THE INCREDIBLE HULK -- $150
16. HELLBOY 2 -- $145
17. SPEED RACER -- $140
18. HIGH SCHOOL MUSICAL 3 -- $135
19. BEDTIME STORIES -- $125
20. YOU DON'T MESS WITH THE ZOHAN -- $120
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Postby Damien » Sun Feb 10, 2008 5:55 pm

Vince Vaughn's Wild West Comedy Show: 30 Days & 30 Nights - From Hollywood to the Heartland averaged a measly $527 per screen this weekend.

But that's a fortune compared to The Hottie And The Nottie. The Paris Hilton vehicle took in $225 per screen. :D
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Postby Franz Ferdinand » Thu Jan 31, 2008 12:43 pm

At this point, it's safe to say that The Dark Knight will make a good run for Spider-Man 3's opening weekend record at the least. Heath Ledger was the undisputed star of the first trailers, and everyone I talked to was salivating about his role, anxious to see what he would make of the character (and some hardly believing it was him at all). Now with his death, the anticipation for the movie is beyond radar: it has become THE must-see movie within my circle, and I expect its opening weekend will be monstrous, with the chance of great word-of-mouth pushing the movie towards the $350M-$400M mark.

And it seems no matter the quality of the movie itself, people will not speak a bad word about it.




Edited By Franz Ferdinand on 1201801507

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Postby MovieWes » Tue Jan 29, 2008 5:50 pm

1) Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull- $370 million
2) The Dark Knight- $340 million
3) The Chronicles of Narnia: Prince Caspian- $315 million
4) Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince- $295 million
5) Wall*E- $275 million
6) Iron Man- $260 million
7) Quantum of Solace- $240 million
8) Hancock- $230 million
9) Kung Fu Panda- $185 million
10) Tropic Thunder- $180 million
11) The Mummy: Tomb of the Dragon Emperor- $175 million
12) Madagascar: Escape 2 Africa- $165 million
13) Dr. Seuss's Horton Hears a Who- $150 million
14) You Don't Mess With the Zohan- $140 million
15) The Pineapple Express- $140 million
16) The Incredible Hulk- $135 million
17) The Happening- $135 million
18) Body of Lies- $130 million
19) The X-Files: I Want to Believe- $115 million
20) Revolutionary Road- $110 million
21) Star Wars: The Clone Wars- $105 million




Edited By MovieWes on 1210572236
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Postby rolotomasi99 » Mon Jan 28, 2008 2:36 pm

a list of all the films released in 2008 which will at least pass the century mark ($100 million). the numbers are general amounts, but the box office rank is more specific. one thing i am willing to bet the bank on is that THE DARK KNIGHT will be the number one film of the year.


1. THE DARK KNIGHT -- $330
2. THE HALF BLOOD PRINCE -- $300
3. THE KINGDOM OF THE CRYSTAL SKULL -- $280
4. HANCOCK -- $275
5. PRINCE CASPIAN -- $275
6. WALL-E -- $250
7. IRON MAN -- $220
8. HORTON HEARS A WHO -- $200
9. MADAGASCAR 2 -- $195
10. 10,000 BC -- $180
11. QUANTAM OF SOLACE -- $175
12. THE INCREDIBLE HULK -- $170
13. THE MUMMY 3 -- $165
14. STAR TREK -- $150
15. SPEED RACER -- $140
16. HIGH SCHOOL MUSICAL 3 -- $135
17. YES MAN -- $130
18. SEX AND THE CITY -- $130
19. TROPIC THUNDER -- $125
20. SEMI-PRO -- $120
21. HELLBOY 2 -- $115
22. THE CURIOUS CASE OF BEJAMIN BUTTON -- $110
23. FOUR CHRISTMASES -- $110
24. THE HAPPENING -- $100
25. GET SMART -- $100
26. THE X-FILES 2 -- $100
"When it comes to the subject of torture, I trust a woman who was married to James Cameron for three years."
-- Amy Poehler in praise of Zero Dark Thirty director Kathryn Bigelow


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