December Predictions

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MovieWes
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Postby MovieWes » Mon Dec 14, 2009 5:55 pm

Best Picture
“An Education” (Sony Pictures Classics)
“Avatar” (20th Century Fox)
“Bright Star” (Apparition)
“The Hurt Locker” (Summit Entertainment)
“Inglourious Basterds” (The Weinstein Company)
“Invictus” (Warner Bros. Pictures)
“Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire” (Lionsgate Films)
“A Single Man” (The Weinstein Company)
“Up” (Walt Disney Pictures)
“Up in the Air” (Paramount Pictures)

Best Director
James Cameron, “Avatar”
Kathryn Bigelow, “The Hurt Locker”
Lee Daniels, “Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire”
Jason Reitman, “Up in the Air”
Quentin Tarantino, “Inglourious Basterds”

Best Actor
Jeff Bridges, “Crazy Heart”
George Clooney, “Up in the Air”
Colin Firth, “A Single Man”
Morgan Freeman, “Invictus”
Jeremy Renner, “The Hurt Locker”

Best Actress
Sandra Bullock, “The Blind Side”
Helen Mirren, “The Last Station”
Carey Mulligan, “An Education”
Gabourey Sidibe, “Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire”
Meryl Streep, “Julie & Julia”

Best Supporting Actor
Woody Harrelson, “The Messenger”
Alfred Molina, “An Education”
Christopher Plummer, “The Last Station”
Stanley Tucci, “Julie & Julia”
Christoph Waltz, “Inglourious Basterds”

Best Supporting Actress
Vera Farmiga, “Up in the Air”
Anna Kendrick, “Up in the Air”
Mo’Nique, “Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire”
Julianne Moore, “A Single Man”
Samantha Morton, “The Messenger”

Best Original Screenplay
“(500) Days of Summer” (Scott Neustadter, Michael H. Weber)
“The Hurt Locker” (Mark Boal)
“Inglourious Basterds” (Quentin Tarantino)
“A Serious Man” (Ethan Coen, Joel Coen)
“Up” (Bob Peterson)

Best Adapted Screenplay
“An Education” (Nick Hornby)
“Invictus” (Anthony Peckham)
“Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire” (Damien Paul)
“A Single Man” (Tom Ford)
“Up in the Air” (Jason Reitman, Sheldon Turner)

Best Animated Feature
“Coraline” (Focus Features)
“Fantastic Mr. Fox” (20th Century Fox)
“Ponyo” (Walt Disney Pictures)
“The Princess and the Frog” (Walt Disney Pictures)
“Up” (Walt Disney Pictures)

Best Film Editing
“Avatar” (John Refoua, Stephen E. Rivkin)
“District 9” (Julian Clarke)
“The Hurt Locker” (Chris Innis, Bob Murawski)
“Inglourious Basterds” (Sally Menke)
“Up in the Air” (Dana E. Glauberman)

Best Cinematography
“Avatar” (Mauro Fiore, Vince Pace)
“Bright Star” (Greig Fraser)
“The Hurt Locker” (Barry Ackroyd)
“Inglourious Basterds” (Robert Richardson)
“Nine” (Dion Beebe)

Best Art Direction
“Avatar” (Rick Carter, Robert Stromberg)
“Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince” (Stuart Craig; Stephanie McMillan)
“Inglourious Basterds” (David Wasco; Sandy Reynolds-Wasco)
“The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus” (Dave Warren, Terry Gilliam, Anastasia Masaro; Caroline Smith, Shane Vieau)
“Nine” (John Myhre, Gordon Sim)

Best Costume Design
“Bright Star” (Janet Patterson)
“Inglourious Basterds” (Anna B. Sheppard)
“Nine” (Colleen Atwood)
“Where the Wild Things Are” (Casey Storm)
“The Young Victoria” (Sandy Powell)

Best Makeup
“The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus”
“Inglourious Basterds”
“Star Trek”

Best Sound Mixing
“Avatar”
“The Hurt Locker”
“Inglourious Basterds”
“Nine”
“Up”

Best Sound Editing
“Avatar”
“District 9”
“Inglourious Basterds”
“Star Trek”
“Up”

Best Visual Effects
“Avatar”
“District 9”
“Star Trek”

Best Original Score
“Avatar” (James Horner)
“Bright Star” (Mark Bradshaw)
“The Informant!” (Marvin Hamlisch)
“The Lovely Bones” (Brian Eno)
“Up” (Michael Giacchino)

Best Original Song
“Cinema Italiano” from “Nine”
“Down in New Orleans” from “The Princess and the Frog”
“I Can See in Color” from “Precious: Based on the Novel ‘Push’ by Sapphire”
“I See You” from “Avatar”
“The Weary Kind” from “Crazy Heart”




Edited By MovieWes on 1260851839
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Postby Sabin » Fri Dec 11, 2009 4:19 pm

I'm going to do my last pre-Globes predictions and my first predictions in full.


BEST PICTURE
(500) Days of Summer
The Blind Side
An Education
The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds
Invictus
Precious
A Serious Man
Up
Up in the Air


BEST DIRECTOR
Kathryn Bigelow, The Hurt Locker
Joel & Ethan Coen, A Serious Man
Clint Eastwood, Invictus
Jason Reitman, Up in the Air
Quentin Tarantino, Inglourious Basterds

BEST ACTOR
Jeff Bridges, Crazy Heart
George Clooney, Up in the Air
Colin Firth, A Single Man
Morgan Freeman, Invictus
Michael Stuhlburg, A Serious Man

BEST ACTRESS
Sandra Bullock, The Blind Side
Carey Mulligan, An Education
Helen Mirren, The Last Station
Meryl Streep, Julie and Julia
Hilary Swank, Amelia

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Matt Damon, Invictus
Woody Harrelson, The Messenger
Alfred Molina, An Education
Christopher Plummer, The Last Station
Christoph Waltz, Inglourious Basterds

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Penelope Cruz, Nine
Judi Dench, Nine
Vera Farmiga, Up in the Air
Anna Kendrick, Up in the Air
Mo’Nique, Precious

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Mark Boal, The Hurt Locker
Joel AND Ethan Coen, A Serious Man
Pete Docter, Tom McCarthy AND Bob Peterson, Up
Scott Neustadter AND Michael H. Weber, (500) Days of Summer
Quentin Tarantino, Inglourious Basterds

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Geoffrey Fletcher, Precious
Michael Hoffman, The Last Station
Nick Hornby, An Education
Anthony Peckam, Invictus
Jason Reitman AND Sheldon Turner, Up in the Air

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Alexandre Desplat, Fantastic Mr. Fox
Brian Eno, The Lovely Bones
Michael Giacchino, Up
James Horner, Avatar
Randy Newman, The Princess and the Frog

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
“Almost There” ~ The Princess and the Frog
“Dig a Little Deeper” ~ The Princess and the Frog
“Down in New Orleans” ~ The Princess and the Frog

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Coraline
Fantastic Mr. Fox
Ponyo
The Princess and the Frog
Up

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Javier Aguirreson, The Road
Dion Bebe, Nine
Roger Deakins, A Serious Man
Andrew Lesnie, The Lovely Bones
Robert Richardson, Inglourious Basterds

BEST FILM EDITING
The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds
Invictus
Nine
Up in the Air

BEST ART DIRECTION – SET DECORATION
Avatar
Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince
The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus
Inglourious Basterds
Nine

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Bright Star
An Education
The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus
Nine
The Young Victoria

BEST MAKEUP
Avatar
The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus
Star Trek

BEST SOUND MIXING
Avatar
The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds
Nine
Star Trek

BEST SOUND EFFECTS
Avatar
The Hurt Locker
Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen
Star Trek
Up

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
2012
Avatar
District 9


...so how do I see this shaping up?

EARLY TALLIES:
8: Inglourious Basterds (yup. your nod leader.)
7: Nine, Up in the Air
6: An Education, The Hurt Locker, Invictus
5: Avatar, The Princess and the Frog, A Serious Man, Up
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Postby Sonic Youth » Fri Dec 11, 2009 8:34 am

Three time Oscar-winner James Horner?

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Postby jack » Fri Dec 11, 2009 8:03 am

I've stopped listing predictions, but I thought I should post my thoughts on something...

I've just finished listening to the Avatar score, and I think we may have our winner. I've noticed that practically no one is predicting it for a nomination. I think you should re-think that.

However, if the Leona Lewis song is nominated (and it will be) that'll be my que to leave the room when she's performing it.

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Postby Uri » Thu Dec 10, 2009 5:37 pm

Eric wrote:
rain Bard wrote:Isn't Julia ineligible because it was available as Video-On-Demand simultaneous to its theatrical release? I could be confusing it with another title...

I admit I'm not sure now. I haven't even seen the film yet, so it was a shot in the dark.

I don't know about the way Julia was released in the USA, but I saw it on cable tv here in Israel early this year, so I guess it's not a good sign.

Anyhow, technicalities aside, it's an amazing performance, but I find it hard to believe it would fare well with the Academy even if it's eligible. Maybe if the critics will embrace it as they should instead of Milligan's, and I'm a big fan of that performance, but Swinton is in a different league.

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Postby Eric » Thu Dec 10, 2009 4:51 pm

rain Bard wrote:Isn't Julia ineligible because it was available as Video-On-Demand simultaneous to its theatrical release? I could be confusing it with another title...

I admit I'm not sure now. I haven't even seen the film yet, so it was a shot in the dark.

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Postby criddic3 » Thu Dec 10, 2009 3:19 pm

Joey wrote:Hi everyone, I'm new but I just wanted to say, I have a feeling there will be a Precious backlash. I'm with the two posters below; predicting the Oscars at this stage should be more fun. So I'm going to predict that Precious won't make the cut for Best Director, thereby sinking the film's chances of winning Best Picture.

Under the old system (5 Picture nominees), I would predict a snub for Precious in the top category, but with ten slots (stupid move on the Academy's part that only diminishes the value of the award) I don't think there's any way it won't make it there.

I don't think it actually diminishes the award, since there is a precedent for having such a long list from the classic era when such films as Gone with the Wind and How Green Was My Valley beat out long lists of competitors. It only seems like a diminishing effect because we're so used to seeing five nominees and because there aren't as many truly great movies to choose from.
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Postby rain Bard » Wed Dec 09, 2009 8:06 pm

Isn't Julia ineligible because it was available as Video-On-Demand simultaneous to its theatrical release? I could be confusing it with another title...

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Postby Sabin » Wed Dec 09, 2009 4:28 pm

I like Eric's pick of Tilda Swinton for Julia. It's a polarizing film that I absolutely loved, and I doubt there will be a better performance this year. All it needs is one critic's group to recognize her performance. And now that I think, it's totally possible.

I could see a Precious backlash. With ten spots, it's probably going to find its way in. There have to be more than enough discerning members of the Director's Branch to think the same, but I thought that last year too...and we saw how that went. Best Picture AND Best Supporting Actress and is that it?




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Postby Big Magilla » Wed Dec 09, 2009 4:16 pm

Aside from Bigelow, Reitman and probably Eastwood, I think Best Director is still pretty much an open field.
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Postby Joey » Wed Dec 09, 2009 4:02 pm

Hi everyone, I'm new but I just wanted to say, I have a feeling there will be a Precious backlash. I'm with the two posters below; predicting the Oscars at this stage should be more fun. So I'm going to predict that Precious won't make the cut for Best Director, thereby sinking the film's chances of winning Best Picture.

Under the old system (5 Picture nominees), I would predict a snub for Precious in the top category, but with ten slots (stupid move on the Academy's part that only diminishes the value of the award) I don't think there's any way it won't make it there.




Edited By Joey on 1260392750

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Postby Eric » Wed Dec 09, 2009 1:05 pm

I'm with Zahveed on this one. The predictions lists are only going to get more monotonous and boring from here on out, so let's have fun while we still can. (Which, in my case, means acting as though The Last Station won't actually pull into the station.)



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Postby Zahveed » Wed Dec 09, 2009 11:49 am

They're just predictions. Let's all simmer down and appreciate the variety in everyone's lists.
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Postby OscarGuy » Wed Dec 09, 2009 11:10 am

I haven't seen the film, but even I can feel the wind shifting directions.
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Postby Zahveed » Wed Dec 09, 2009 10:51 am

Oh. In that case I would probably replace Gordon-Levitt, Deschanel, and Invictus - respectively. I haven't seen the film yet, so I can't make a definitive decision.
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