Big Magilla wrote:The Original BJ wrote:What will be really interesting is that we'll know the WINNERS of the PGA, DGA, AND SAG Awards before Oscar nominations are even ANNOUNCED, if I'm reading the precursor calendar correctly.
Yes, and this is a first.
The question is how many AMPAS members will hold off submitting their ballots until they've seen all those results and how will they use them? Will they they use their votes to rubber stamp or to shine a light on other contenders?
I noted this myself a while back and meant to bring it up. Having a DGA winner, especially, prior to nominations will feel weird. (Particualrly in a year where, because othe new 10-and-5, it's possible DGA will only predict half of the picture/director equation -- and I'm not certain which half)
I've always questioned whether the precursor groups influence Academy choice or merely reflect it.
One salutary effect of the late Oscar ceremony is, many of these lead-in presentations might have virtually faded from memory by the time Big Night rolls around. The one-a-week prelims have contributed to the deadening effect of recent years (especially when you saw Helen Mirren or Slumdog win at every goddamn one). There might be more freshness to this year's ceremony than that to which we've becme accustomed.