January predictions

Joey
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Postby Joey » Thu Jan 07, 2010 5:52 pm

After the boring across-the-board precursory consensus of 2007 and 2008, is anyone else excited by the possibility that this year we could have a real Oscar race?

I realize there's still time for the Globes/Guild Awards to fall in line and render this year a dull trek to the Oscar finish line, but the fact that there's a likely potential for non-consensus excites me. Isn't it more than possible for example for Up in the Air to win the Golden Globe, Avatar to win PGA, Hurt Locker to win DGA, and Inglorious Basterds (or something else) to win SAG? And wouldn't that give us a genuine race?

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Postby Zahveed » Wed Jan 06, 2010 3:43 pm

This will be the first year where everything is tied.
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Postby Greg » Wed Jan 06, 2010 3:36 pm

Zahveed wrote:. . . The Hurt Locker will not win best picture. . .

Avatar won't win best picture.

Jeez, Zahveed, SOMETHING has to win!
A party without cake is just a meeting

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Zahveed
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Postby Zahveed » Wed Jan 06, 2010 2:07 pm

Sabin wrote:Replace "All Is Love" with one of those horrible Invictus songs.

Nay, my good sir.
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Postby Zahveed » Wed Jan 06, 2010 2:06 pm

Big Magilla wrote:
Zahveed wrote:4.) The Hurt Locker will not win best picture. There will be an "upset" of sorts. I don't want to jump on the box-office bandwagon, but it is too small to be the winner. It won't happen unless it's rereleased, which is improbable due to the film print shortage (if my source is to be trusted). It won't' go wider than it already has.

It won't be re-released. It comes out on DVD next Tuesday.

I'm not sure then. Is there any precedent with nominees/winners and their DVD sales?
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Postby Sabin » Wed Jan 06, 2010 1:19 pm

Replace "All Is Love" with one of those horrible Invictus songs.
"If you are marching with white nationalists, you are by definition not a very nice person. If Malala Yousafzai had taken part in that rally, you'd have to say 'Okay, I guess Malala sucks now.'" ~ John Oliver

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Postby Big Magilla » Wed Jan 06, 2010 1:11 pm

Zahveed wrote:4.) The Hurt Locker will not win best picture. There will be an "upset" of sorts. I don't want to jump on the box-office bandwagon, but it is too small to be the winner. It won't happen unless it's rereleased, which is improbable due to the film print shortage (if my source is to be trusted). It won't' go wider than it already has.

It won't be re-released. It comes out on DVD next Tuesday.




Edited By Big Magilla on 1262801521

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Zahveed
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Postby Zahveed » Wed Jan 06, 2010 12:46 pm

My thoughts (some obvious):

1.) If there is an animated film nominated for Best Picture, it will be Up - if only based on pedigree. I think Fantastic Mr. Fox is the better picture but it isn't brought up outside of Anderson fans and animation enthusiasts. Up will not win if nominated.

2.) If one of the sci-fi/action films outside of Avatar is nominated, it will be District 9. A few years ago most people were predicting The Simpsons Movie would be the third nomination for Best Animated Picture, but it wasn't. This could probably be attributed to the fact it was based of a running television show, as some have pointed out that year. Star Trek has had bunch of movies and several TV programs, including spin-offs, under its belt. Its inclusion seems highly unlikely.

3.) If only one comedy is nominated, it will be (500) Days of Summer. It won't be the overrated Hangover or the underperforming A Serious Man (yet to see it), but Michael Stuhlbarg could still get a nod and screenplay is more than likely. (I know I put it down on my predictions, but I didn't say there couldn't be more than one comedy in the bunch).

4.) The Hurt Locker will not win best picture. There will be an "upset" of sorts. I don't want to jump on the box-office bandwagon, but it is too small to be the winner. It won't happen unless it's rereleased, which is improbable due to the film print shortage (if my source is to be trusted). It won't' go wider than it already has.

5.) Avatar won't win best picture. It'll win all of its respective tech nominations, for sure, but not best picture and probably not even best director. For the Academy to ignore 3D, motion capture, and CG extravaganzas for so long just to turn around give it to Cameron just because he made Titanic. If Cameron made the same exact film without the unsinkable ship in his resume there wouldn't be this talk.

"But what about its amazing box-office gross?"

The Dark Knight had a great run too, talk was abound, and that didn't happen.

"Zahveed, you silly rabbit, we have ten slots this year. Had this been last year, surely The Dark Knight would have been nominated."

Most likely, yes. Sure, the film had its flaws, but it wasn't nearly as goofy, poorly written, or unoriginal as Avatar. They should have played "Colors of the Wind" from Pochohantas at the end credits so my ears wouldn't bleed on the way out of the auditorium. Christopher Nolan also had a history of strong, well-written, respectable suspense dramas. Cameron makes action movies. He makes them better than The Pantastic Mr. Bay, but they're still merely action movies. The Dark Knight at least had stunts, live explosions, real car chases, and blew up a real building. The only time Cameron used even a set for Avatar was inside their camp, where nothing happened, only because it was cost effective.

Once machines gain sentience, he'll have no use for us humans either. He'll launch Skynet with his Avatar money and take over the world.

"Didn't you say you liked Avatar?"

Yea. But only for the visuals and Col Badass.

Rabble rabble rabble.
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Postby anonymous1980 » Wed Jan 06, 2010 4:03 am

Why aren't you predicting Up in Best Picture, Sabin?

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Postby Sabin » Wed Jan 06, 2010 1:23 am

Just to be clear: yes, I am predicting more nominations for Star Trek than Invictus and Precious.

10: Avatar
8: The Hurt Locker, Inglourious Basterds
7: An Education, Up in the Air
5: Star Trek
4: District 9
3: Invictus, Precious
2: (500) Days of Summer



Best Picture
Avatar
District 9
An Education
(500) Days of Summer
The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds
Invictus
Precious
Star Trek
Up in the Air

Best Director
Kathryn Bigelow, The Hurt Locker
James Cameron, Avatar
Jason Reitman, Up in the Air
Lone Scherfig, An Education
Quentin Tarantino, Inglourious Basterds

Best Actor
Jeff Bridges, Crazy Heart
George Clooney, Up in the Air
Colin Firth, A Single Man
Morgan Freeman, Invictus
Jeremy Renner, The Hurt Locker

Best Actress
Sandra Bullock, The Blind Side
Helen Mirren, The Last Station
Carey Mulligan, An Education
Gabourney Sidibe, Precious
Meryl Streep, Julie & Julia

Best Supporting Actor
Matt Damon, Invictus
Woody Harrelson, The Messenger
Alfred Molina, An Education
Christopher Plummer, The Last Station
Christoph Waltz, Inglourious Basterds

Best Supporting Actress
Vera Farmiga, Up in the Air
Anna Kendrick, Up in the Air
Mo'Nique, Precious
Julianne Moore, A Single Man
Samantha Morton, The Messenger

Best Original Screenplay
(500) Days of Summer
The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds
A Serious Man
Up

Best Adapted Screenplay
District 9
An Education
Fantastic Mr. Fox
Invictus
Up in the Air

Best Original Score
Avatar
Fantastic Mr. Fox
The Informant!
Sherlock Holmes
Up

Best Original Song
"All is Love" ~ Where the Wild Things Are
"Almost There" ~ The Princess and the Frog
"Down in New Orleans" ~ The Princess and the Frog
"HORRIBLE SONG! AH!" ~ Avatar
"The Weary King" ~ Crazy Heart

Best Animated Feature
Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs
Coraline
Fantastic Mr. Fox
The Princess and the Frog
Up

Best Cinematography
Avatar
The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds
Nine
Sherlock Holmes

Best Film Editing
Avatar
The Hurt Locker
An Education
Inglourious Basterds
Up in the Air

Best Art Direction
Avatar
The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus
Inglourious Basterds
Nine
Sherlock Holmes

Best Costume Design
An Education
The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus
Nine
Sherlock Holmes
The Young Victoria

Best Makeup
The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus
The Road
Star Trek

Best Sound Mixing
Avatar
The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds
Star Trek
Up

Best Sound Effects
Avatar
District 9
The Hurt Locker
Star Trek
Up

Best Visual Effects
Avatar
District 9
Star Trek




Edited By Sabin on 1262759178
"If you are marching with white nationalists, you are by definition not a very nice person. If Malala Yousafzai had taken part in that rally, you'd have to say 'Okay, I guess Malala sucks now.'" ~ John Oliver

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Postby rolotomasi99 » Tue Jan 05, 2010 11:57 am

MovieWes wrote:Best Original Score
“Avatar” (James Horner)
“The Informant!” (Marvin Hamlisch)
“Sherlock Holmes” (Hans Zimmer)
“Up” (Michael Giacchino)
“Where the Wild Things Are” (Carter Burwell, Karen O.)

Best Original Song
“All is Love” from “Where the Wild Things Are”
“Cinema Italiano” from “Nine”
“Down in New Orleans” from “The Princess and the Frog”
“I See You” from “Avatar”
“The Weary Kind” from “Crazy Heart”

Just so you know MovieWes, the score for WHERE THE WILD THINGS ARE has been disqualified.

http://www.thewrap.com/ind-col....y-12469

I think the song is still eligible, and hopefully it wins.




Edited By rolotomasi99 on 1262710780
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rain Bard
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Postby rain Bard » Tue Jan 05, 2010 2:34 am

After Enchanted nabbed three nominations they changed the rules.

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Postby Reza » Tue Jan 05, 2010 1:57 am

dreaMaker wrote:
Zahveed wrote:BEST ORIGINAL SONG
"All Is Love" - Where the Wild Things Are
"Down in New Orleans" - The Princess and the Frog
"Friends on the Other Side" - The Princess and the Frog
"Ma Belle Evangeline" - The Princess and the Frog
"Petey's Song" - Fantastic Mr. Fox

I think there cannot be more than two nominations for best song.

Is this a new rule? Didn't one of the cartoons get 3 nods in the song category?

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Postby Zahveed » Tue Jan 05, 2010 12:34 am

Oh, well take one of the Frog songs out.
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Postby dreaMaker » Mon Jan 04, 2010 3:42 pm

Zahveed wrote:BEST ORIGINAL SONG
"All Is Love" - Where the Wild Things Are
"Down in New Orleans" - The Princess and the Frog
"Friends on the Other Side" - The Princess and the Frog
"Ma Belle Evangeline" - The Princess and the Frog
"Petey's Song" - Fantastic Mr. Fox

I think there cannot be more than two nominations for best song.


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