Other than Best Picture, this category is the biggest mystery so far. The ASC award winner will certainly help clear things up, but the Academy often differs from the ASC.
I have seen all the nominees except THE WHITE RIBBON. A win for it seems unlikely, but not impossible.
THE HALF-BLOOD PRINCE seems the least likely to win.
AVATAR's nomination is ridiculous and a win would be even more insulting, but the Academy likes big cinematography (CROUCHING TIGER, HIDDEN DRAGON, THE FELLOWSHIP OF THE RING, THE FAR SIDE OF THE WORLD, etc.) so a win is very possible.
If love for THE HURT LOCKER is as wide-spread as it seems, than it could easily and deservedly win. However, its minimalist style certainly makes it very out of place from the past decade's winners.
INGLORIOUS BASTERDS would seem the most likely candidate, except this would be Robert Richardson's third win. That would be as many wins as legends like Conrad Hall and Vittorio Storaro, and only one win away from the record of four held by Leon Shamroy and Joseph Ruttenberg (their wins came from 18 and 10 nominations respectively, while Richardson is on only his sixth nomination). This would also be three more wins than Roger Deakins. :angry:
Still, it seems like INGLORIOUS BASTERDS has the best chance. I will be hoping for THE WHITE RIBBON or THE HURT LOCKER to win, and dreading a win by AVATAR. I can accept INGLORIOUS BASTERDS as a compromise.
Edited By rolotomasi99 on 1267062043
"When it comes to the subject of torture, I trust a woman who was married to James Cameron for three years."
-- Amy Poehler in praise of Zero Dark Thirty director Kathryn Bigelow