Well, my date to the ball is gonna be Winter's Bone.
The two biggest shocks of the year are the snubs for Inception for Best Film Editing and for TRON: Legacy for Best Visual Effects. Young Jeff Bridges killed its chance. I'm completely fascinated.
All about Dogtooth and Exit Through the Gift Shop, people. Outside of that, I'm happiest for my date for the ball, Winter's Bone, and especially the nomination for John Hawkes. Also for Bardem (haven't seen the film, but better he than Duvall, Gosling, or Wahlberg), Steinfeld in support (not because she's supporting but because she's going to win, I think), Weaver (because she's better than Kunis), Mike Leigh, and the makeup folk for Barney's Version.
Aside from the shut-out of Scott Pilgrim, I'm most disappointed in 127 Hours' Best Adapted Screenplay and Editing noms, the overabundance of noms for The King's Speech, mainly because it's not well-shot, well-art directed, well-costumed, and the mix is nothing special (I'll applaud the editor if only for dealing with the ungainliness of the thing, but not over other films), the lack of nominations for what was great about Black Swan which was its sound mix and effects...
Yeah. Nothing much else to really say. You get years that go as predicted and then you get years that don't. Considering that two months ago, I was predicting, like, five nominations for The Social Network, I'm pretty happy and think it still will do all right. The King's Speech and True Grit are mediocrities. It's not like The King's Speech will be quite as bad a winner as Crash, Slumdog Millionaire, or A Beautiful Mind, but it's still not a very good movie and it's win is gonna be a giant groaner. If it happens. Which I'm not convinced.
What is cool is that The Social Network just added another win to its tally that I thought was gone baby gone: Best Film Editing. With Inception out of the way, I think it owns Best Film Editing. Because it is one of the best edited films of the year. That means (putting aside Best Picture), The Social Network owns Best Director, Adapted Screenplay, and Best Film Editing, possibly Best Original Score. That means The King's Speech owns Best Actor, Best Original Screenplay, Best Costume Design, and possibly Best Original Score. They're basically in the same position.
"If you are marching with white nationalists, you are by definition not a very nice person. If Malala Yousafzai had taken part in that rally, you'd have to say 'Okay, I guess Malala sucks now.'" ~ John Oliver