This is the last time I ever predict against a Mike Leigh script. I told myself that after predicting against Topsy-Turvy, Vera Drake, AND Happy-Go-Lucky, that I wouldn't do it this year...and then Another Year just seemed to be nowhere and I figured it didn't have the support. Silly me.
Kudos to Mister Tee (and company) for seeing the Christopher Nolan omission coming. I can't say I'm offended by that -- certainly not in the way the online fanboys will be -- but, as someone who really loved Memento, I've always wanted to see him get into the Best Director lineup, and it did look like he finally would this year.
It's odd to see Michelle Williams nominated without Ryan Gosling, no? I'd have thought the pair would have been nominated or omitted together. (The omissions of Gosling and Garfield seem evidence of the fact that the acting branch only likes to grant so many nominations on young men.)
As for HaiLead, I predicted that she'd be bumped up, but of course I'm not surprised that she wasn't. I think it's fairly obvious by this point that there's just no way of getting around these fraudulent category placements. This time grumblings were fairly loud -- much louder than usual, I think -- but voters still bought what the campaign (and all those g.d. podunk critics) were selling.
Black Swan's omission in Sound Mixing -- for The King's Speech's Shakespeare in Love-style nomination booster -- was hugely disappointing. (It is worth noting, though, that this is the first time in a while that we've seen significant difference between the two sound categories.)
The I Am Love Costume nod was a pleasant surprise -- everyone looked great in that movie, and it's always nice when contemporary pics get noticed there.
The Waiting for "Superman" omission certainly must recall the Hoop Dreams/Crumb days of the most highly-buzzed docs being stunningly excluded.
I'm sure there's much more to say, but I need to go back to bed.