Final Oscar Predictions

For the films of 2011
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Sonic Youth
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Re: Final Oscar Predictions

Postby Sonic Youth » Tue Jan 24, 2012 8:49 am

For all the abuse Magilla took from us, he should assign an appropriate punishment for each of us such as a day of shame and humiliation.
"What the hell?"
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Re: Final Oscar Predictions

Postby Bog » Tue Jan 24, 2012 8:47 am

No fricking way...damn Daldry film, and who wanted the no guts no glory no Brooks pick?

Well done.

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Re: Final Oscar Predictions

Postby The Original BJ » Tue Jan 24, 2012 8:46 am

Oh my god. Did they save that nomination for last on purpose?

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Re: Final Oscar Predictions

Postby OscarGuy » Tue Jan 24, 2012 8:44 am

Holy shit.
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Re: Final Oscar Predictions

Postby flipp525 » Tue Jan 24, 2012 8:44 am

Anna Paquin for Margaret is my no guts, no glory nomination.
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Re: Final Oscar Predictions

Postby Sonic Youth » Tue Jan 24, 2012 8:43 am

All hail Magilla.

And I'm retiring from the predictions business.
Last edited by Sonic Youth on Tue Jan 24, 2012 8:46 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Final Oscar Predictions

Postby Sonic Youth » Tue Jan 24, 2012 7:28 am

Reza wrote:
Sonic Youth wrote:Best Actor

George Clooney
George Clooney


But this sort of double nomination went out with the likes of Garbo and Norma Shearer!!


You've heard of vote-splitting, right? This will be the Oscar's first instance of vote-fusing.

Replace with Dujardin, and blame it on my getting home really late last night.
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Re: Final Oscar Predictions

Postby criddic3 » Tue Jan 24, 2012 6:47 am

Picture:

Artist
Descendants
Ides of March
Hugo
Midnight in Paris
Moneyball
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
War Horse

Surprise nom: Tree of Life or Girl with the Dragon Tattoo

Director

Allen
Hazanavicius
Malick
Scorsese
Spielberg

Surprise nom: Refn or Clooney

Actor:

Clooney
Dujardin
Fassbender
Oldman
Pitt

Surprise nom: Gosling, Gleeson or Wilson

Actress:

Davis
Mara
Streep
Swinton
Williams

Surprise nom: Close or Olsen

Supp. Actor:

Branagh
Brooks
Hill
Nolte
Plummer

Surprise nom: Pitt or Stoll, maybe Kingsley

Supp. Actress:

Bejo
Chastain
McTeer
Spencer
Woodley

Surprise nom: Mulligan or McCarthy

Original Screenplay

50/50
The Artist
Bridesmaids
Midnight in Paris
A Separation

Surprise nom: Rango, Martha Marcy May Marlene or Young Adult

Adapted Screenplay:

Descendants
The Help
Hugo
Moneyball
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy

Surprise nom: War Horse or Jane Eyre

Art Direction:

The Artist
Harry Potter Deathly Hallows 2
The Help
Hugo
War Horse

Surprise nom: Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy or Tree of Life

Cinematography:

The Artist
Hugo
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Tree of Life
War Horse

Surprise nom: Girl with the Dragon Tattoo or Midnight in Paris

Costume Design:

The Artist
Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Harry Potter Deathly Hallows 2
Hugo
Jane Eyre

Surprise nom: Anonymous or Immortals

Film Editing:

The Artist
Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Hugo
Moneyball
Super 8

Surprise nom: Drive or War Horse

Original Score:

The Adventures of Tintin
The Artist
Harry Potter Deathly Hallows 2
Hugo
War Horse

Surprise nom: Drive or Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy

Song:

"Life's a Happy Song" Muppets
"Living Proof" Help
"Think You Can Wait" Win Win

Surprise nom: "So Long" Winnie the pooh or "Take Shelter" Take Shelter

Sound (either category):

Captain America
Hugo
Super 8
Transformers 3
War Horse

Surprise nom: Drive or The Artist

Visual Effects:

Captain America
Hugo
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
Super 8
Transformers 3

Surprise nom: Tree of Life

Animated Filml:

Adventures of Tintin
Arthur Christmas
Chita & Rico
Puss in Boots
Rango

Surprise nom: Cars 2
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Re: Final Oscar Predictions

Postby OscarGuy » Tue Jan 24, 2012 6:30 am

Reza wrote:
Sonic Youth wrote:Best Actor

George Clooney
George Clooney


But this sort of double nomination went out with the likes of Garbo and Norma Shearer!!


It's because the Academy has a rule against a single actor receiving more than one nomination in a single category.
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Re: Final Oscar Predictions

Postby Barrybrooks2011 » Tue Jan 24, 2012 3:45 am

In the realm of No Guts No Glory, I have a few oddballs, yet possibilities:
1. There are ten Best Picture nominees, and one of them is My Week With Marilyn.
2. Jessica Chastain gets no nomination.
3. There are only two Best Song nominees, both from The Muppets.
4. Shame and The Iron Lady, and Moneyball and The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo are all nominated for
Screenplay, causing each race to have two of the same screenwriters.
5. Margaret somehows gets a below the line nod, like Editing.

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Re: Final Oscar Predictions

Postby Reza » Tue Jan 24, 2012 3:19 am

Sonic Youth wrote:Best Actor

George Clooney
George Clooney


But this sort of double nomination went out with the likes of Garbo and Norma Shearer!!

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Re: Final Oscar Predictions

Postby Reza » Tue Jan 24, 2012 3:17 am

Best Picture:
The Artist
The Descendants
The Help
Hugo
Midnight in Paris

...and if there are more than five nominees (in order):

Moneyball
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
A Separation
War Horse
The Tree of Life

Actor:
George Clooney, The Descendants
Jean Dujardin, The Artist
Michael Fassbender, Shame
Gary Oldman, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Brad Pitt, Moneyball

Actress:
Viola Davis, The Help
Elizabeth Olsen, Martha Marcy May Marlene
Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
Tilda Swinton, We Need to Talk About Kevin
Michelle Williams, My Week With Marilyn

Supporting Actor:
Kenneth Branagh, My Week With Marilyn
Albert Brooks, Drive
Nick Nolte, Warrior
Patton Oswalt, Young Adult
Christopher Plummer, Beginners

Supporting Actress:
Berenice Bejo, The Artist
Jessica Chastain, The Help
Janet McTeer, Albert Nobbs
Vanessa Redgrave, Coriolanus
Octavia Spencer, The Help

Director:
Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris
Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
Terence Malick, The Tree of Life
Alexander Payne, The Descendants
Martin Scorsese, Hugo

Best Original Screenplay
The Artist
50/50
Midnight in Paris
A Separation
Win Win

Best Adapted Screenplay
The Descendants
The Help
Moneyball
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
We Need to Talk About Kevin

Best Original Score
The Artist
The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
Hugo
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
War Horse

Best Song
''Lay Your Head Down'' - Albert Nobbs
''Life's a Happy Song'' - The Muppets
''The Living Proof'' - The Help
''Pictures in my Head'' - The Muppets
''Star Spangled Man'' - Captain America - The First Avenger

Best Editing
The Artist
The Descendants
Hugo
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
War Horse

Best Cinematography
The Artist
Hugo
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
The Tree of Life
War Horse

Best Art Direction
The Artist
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
Hugo
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
War Horse

Best Costume Design
Anonymous
The Artist
The Help
Hugo
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy

Best Makeup
The Artist
The Iron Lady
J. Edgar

Best Sound Mixing
The Adventures of Tintin
Hugo
Mission Impossible 3 - Ghost Protocol
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
War Horse

Best Sound Editing
The Adventures of Tintin
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
Hugo
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
War Horse

Best Visual Effects
Captain America: The First Avenger
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
Hugo
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
The Tree of Life

Best Foreign Film
In Darkness
Omar Killed Me
Pina
A Separation
Warriors of the Rainbow

Best Documentary Feature
Page One: Inside the New York Times
Pina
Project Nim
Tabloid
We Were Here

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Re: Final Oscar Predictions

Postby Sonic Youth » Tue Jan 24, 2012 1:32 am

I'm just doing the major categories.

No guts, no glory: Michael Shannon for Best Actor; The Help not nominated for Best Picture if only five nominees; Jessica Chastain is snubbed; no Malick for Best Director; no TTSS for major categories.

Biggest Surprise I can't bring myself to predict: Bennett Miller for Best Director.

Best Picture

The Artist
The Descendants
Hugo
Moneyball
Midnight in Paris
...
6. The Help
7. The Girl With the Dragon Tatoo
8. Bridesmaids
9. War Horse
10. The Tree of Life

Best Director

Woody Allen
David Fincher
Michael Hazanavicius
Alexander Payne
Martin Scorsese

Best Actor

George Clooney
George Clooney
Michael Fassbender
Brad Pitt
Michael Shannon

Best Actress

Glenn Close
Viola Davis
Meryl Streep
Tilda Swinton
Michelle Williams

Best Supporting Actor

Kenneth Branagh
Albert Brooks
Jonah Hill
Nick Nolte
Christopher Plummer

Best Supporting Actress

Berenice Bejo
Melissa McCarthy
Janet McTeer
Octavia Spencer
Shailene Woodley

Best Original Screenplay

The Artist
Bridesmaids
50/50
Midnight in Paris
A Separation

Best Adapted Screenplay

The Descendants
The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
The Help
Hugo
Moneyball
"What the hell?"

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Re: Final Oscar Predictions

Postby rolotomasi99 » Mon Jan 23, 2012 10:26 pm

I already did my serious predictions in another thread. Now I want to do my No Guts, No Glory predictions. With all the precursors we are rarely confronted with a genuine surprise nominee. For every category, we have our five nominees and then at least five more alternatives. However, in honor of SAG's nomination of Demian Bichir in A BETTER LIFE, I wanted to just throw out some truly alternative Oscar predictions. All of these nominees would be surprising but are still realistic (no acting nomination for Adam Sandler or something like that). I would love to see what out there Oscar nominations other folks are willing to predict. Think of the bragging rights you can have tomorrow morning if you get it right.

BEST PICTURE
We Need To Talk About Kevin

DIRECTOR
We Need To Talk About Kevin

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
We Need To Talk About Kevin

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Contagion

LEAD ACTOR
Joseph Gordon Levitt - 50/50

LEAD ACTRESS
Mia Wasikowska - Jane Eyre

SUPPORTING ACTOR
Ezra Miller - We Need To Talk About Kevin

SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett - Hanna

EDITING
Source Code

CINEMATOGRAPHY
In Time

SET
Immortals

COSTUME
Immortals

SCORE
Hanna

SOUND
Rango

SOUND EDITING
Rango
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Re: Final Oscar Predictions

Postby The Original BJ » Mon Jan 23, 2012 8:51 pm

BEST PICTURE
The Artist
The Descendants
The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
The Help
Hugo
Midnight in Paris
Moneyball
The Tree of Life

BEST DIRECTOR
Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris
Michael Hazanavicius, The Artist
Terrence Malick, The Tree of Life
Alexander Payne, The Descendants
Martin Scorsese, Hugo

BEST ACTOR
George Clooney, The Descendants
Leonardo DiCaprio, J. Edgar
Jean Dujardin, The Artist
Michael Fassbender, Shame
Brad Pitt, Moneyball

BEST ACTRESS
Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs
Viola Davis, The Help
Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
Tilda Swinton, We Need to Talk About Kevin
Michelle Williams, My Week With Marilyn

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Kenneth Branagh, My Week With Marilyn
Albert Brooks, Drive (*)
Jonah Hill, Moneyball
Nick Nolte, Warrior
Christopher Plummer, Beginners
*...but I REALLY wanted to go out on a limb and predict this snub, cause I think it could happen, Buscemi/Sarsgaard-style.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Bérénice LEAD, The Artist
Jessica Chastain, The Help
Janet McTeer, Albert Nobbs
Carey Mulligan, Shame (*)
Octavia Spencer, The Help
*...I know, I know, she's not gonna get nominated. But McTeer, McCarthy, and Woodley all strike me as being a lot more vulnerable than some think, and in crowded races, surprising inclusions/exclusions can often happen, so I can at least dream until tomorrow... #pleaseOscardontfailme

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
The Artist
Bridesmaids
50/50
Midnight in Paris
A Separation

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
The Descendants
The Help
Hugo
Moneyball
Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Footnote
In Darkness
Omar Killed Me
Pina
A Separation

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
The Loving Story
Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory
Pina
Project Nim
We Were Here

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
The Adventures of Tintin
Arthur Christmas
Chico & Rita
Puss in Boots
Rango

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
The Keeper, Machine Gun Preacher
Lay Your Head Down, Albert Nobbs
Life's a Happy Song, The Muppets
The Living Proof, The Help
Star Spangled Man, Captain America: The First Avenger

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
The Artist
The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
Hugo
Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy
War Horse

BEST ART DIRECTION
The Artist
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
Hugo
Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy
War Horse

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
The Artist
The Help
Hugo
Jane Eyre
W.E.

BEST MAKEUP
The Artist
Hugo
The Iron Lady

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
The Artist
The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
Hugo
The Tree of Life
War Horse

BEST FILM EDITING
The Artist
Drive
The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
Hugo
Moneyball

BEST SOUND MIXING
The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
Hugo
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
Super 8
War Horse

BEST SOUND EDITING
The Adventures of Tintin
Hugo
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
Super 8
War Horse

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
Hugo
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
Transformers: Whatever the Hell It's Called
The Tree of Life

...and I'm not even going to take a blind stab at the shorts. See y'all tomorrow!


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